Middle East 2020: fragility and opportunities

2019 has been a year in which  the Middle East experienced much chaos. The region remains drowned into a multiplicity of international and internal, sectarian and economic conflicts while its populations more and more loudly demand better governance, economic (including employment) prospects, and the end of foreign interventions, including from Iran and other countries in... Continue Reading →

Liban, Irak, Un nouveau front pour Teheran

Les récents soulèvements au Liban et en Irak constituent une évolution importante dans une région déjà troublée et politiquement fragile. Bien qu’un nouvel ordre géopolitique soit en train d’émerger, bon nombre des problèmes de la région perdurent et notamment les relations difficiles entre les États et leurs citoyens. Cette tension sous-jacente, connue sous le nom... Continue Reading →

Iran faces a new front: Lebanon and Iraq uprisings

The recent uprisings in Lebanon and Iraq are an important development in an already troubled and politically fragile region. Although a new geopolitical order is emerging, many of the region’s legacy problems endure and most notably, the uneasy relationship between states and their citizens. This underlying tension, known as ‘the Arab Simmer’ which triggered the... Continue Reading →

Don’t talk about reconstruction, Syria is still at war

On 27 June, Human Rights Watch released a new report arguing that the Syrian government is co-opting humanitarian aid and reconstruction assistance to entrench its repressive policies. The New York-based rights group found the government restricts access of humanitarian organisations to communities in need of aid, approves aid projects selectively, and imposes requirements on groups... Continue Reading →

Will the Astana Group fail Syria’s people?

For the past three weeks, the Syrian Army, supported by Russian air force, has been increasingly and intensively shelling cities and towns on or near the Aleppo-Damascus Highway (M5), especially Ma’arat an-Numman and Khan Sheikhoun towns and surroundings, in what constitutes the most serious escalation in Idlib since the agreement reached by Moscow and Ankara... Continue Reading →

What’s Next in the Middle East in 2019

• ISIS, which is loosing its last stronghold in Syria, probably realizes that controlling new territory is not sustainable in the short term. ISIS will seek to exploit Sunni grievances, societal instability, and stretched security forces to regain territory in Iraq and Syria in the long term. At some point, ISIS will likely resume external... Continue Reading →

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